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10/06/2009 - Fontana, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Nationwide. Date: Saturday, October 10. Race: Copart 300. Site: Auto Club Speedway. Track: two-mile oval. Start Time: 4:30 p.m. (et). Laps: 150. Miles: 300. Last year's winner: Kyle Busch. Television: ESPN 2. Radio: Motor Racing Network (MRN)/SIRIUS XM Satellite.
Kyle Busch is looking to widen his points lead over Carl Edwards this Saturday at California.
Busch put on a dominating performance last week at Kansas, but after a late- race restart, Joey Logano passed Busch for the lead with four laps remaining. It was the fourth time this season that Logano has taken the lead away from his Joe Gibbs Racing teammate with less than 10 laps to go and then go on to victory.
With his second-place finish, Busch stretched his points lead to 245 with six races to go.
Logano, a four-time Nationwide Series race winner so far this year, will compete at California. The 19-year-old driver has finished third and sixth in his first two races there.
Busch, meanwhile, has won the last two races at California. He was simply unstoppable in last year's fall event there, leading all but six of the 150 laps. Busch briefly gave up the lead on two separate green-flag pit stops. He easily held off Carl Edwards in the final laps for his seventh win of the season.
In February, Busch won the Nationwide race at California several hours after he took the checkered flag for the Camping World Truck Series race there. He became the first driver in NASCAR history to win two national touring races on the same day.
Greg Biffle is the only other driver to win back-to-back Nationwide races at California. Biffle won there twice in 2004.
Matt Kenseth has the most victories at California with four, while Biffle and Busch have won there three times each. Kenseth is not competing in this weekend's race.
"I love this place; I always have," Biffle said. "This weekend is my last Nationwide Series race of the season, and I really want to go out on top."
Fifty teams are on the preliminary entry list for the Copart 300.
<< 49ers meet with Crabtree
Santa Clara, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Francisco 49ers and holdout wide
receiver Michael Crabtree met on Tuesday, trying to end a long impasse.
The 10th overall draft pick from this year was reportedly offered a $20
million co
<< AFC West: Raiders' Russell should be benched
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It doesn't necessarily mean a team is giving up on the
season when the backup quarterback gets promoted because of an ineffective
starter. If Oakland Raiders head coach Tom Cable elects to bench JaMarcus
Russell in favor of B
<< Bobcats pick up option on Augustin
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Charlotte Bobcats have picked up the
third-year contract option on point guard D.J. Augustin.
The team had until the end of the month to exercise the option. Because of
this, the team will pay Au
<< Medalists reach third round at Mid Amateur
Kiawah Island, SC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michael McCoy and Nathan Smith, the
stroke-play co-medalists, won two matches on Tuesday to move into the third
round of the U.S. Mid Amateur.
McCoy cruised to a 4 & 3 win in the first ro
NFC West: Once again, injuries keeping Seahawks grounded >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It's hard to blame members of the Seattle Seahawks for
believing they're experiencing a bad case of deja vu.
An extensive rash of injuries was the driving force behind Seattle's 4-12
record in 2008, a precipitous fall from
NFC South: QB switch doesn't change Bucs' fortunes >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Josh Johnson's first career NFL start couldn't have gotten
off to a more perfect beginning for the young quarterback. The end result,
however, turned out to be more of the same for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Johnson's initi
Yankees choose to open playoffs Wednesday; will face Twins >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Yankees chose to select the
eight-day American League Division Series and will open the playoffs at home
Wednesday against the Central Division champion Twins.
Minnesota beat Detroit, 6-
Alfredsson leads Senators past Leafs >>
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Daniel Alfredsson's goal in the second period
proved to be the difference, as the Ottawa Senators held on to edge the
Toronto Maple Leafs, 2-1, at Air Canada Centre.
Shean Donovan scored the other g
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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